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What Happens When ISIS Becomes an Online Caliphate?
No longer merely against the ropes, the Islamic State is on the canvas. After months of bloody urban warfare, the Islamic State’s uprooting from Mosul represents the latest and most significant blow...
Trump is not serious about dealing with North Korea
Call me an optimist, but I think war on the Korean Peninsula is very unlikely. That’s the good news. The bad news is that the Trump Administration’s bellicose and amateurish antics over the issue are...
Australia must be dexterous in its ties with Trump's America
The most important quality in statecraft is imagination. The capacity to imagine consequences of actions, as well as inaction, and devise a path through what are often a range of unappetising...
Obama's foreign policy legacy in three quotes
After the Bush administration, many believed that President Obama would bring stability to the global order with a fusion of eloquent rhetoric, a preference for multilateralism and a cautious...
Jihadist Threat in 2017
2017 promises a more volatile and diffuse jihadist threat as the war on ISIS causes various Islamist extremist groups to strategically evolve as they compete for attention and influence. This dynamic...
Berlin attack: security intelligence has limits in preventing truck-borne terror
How could such events be allowed to happen? Why weren’t intelligence agencies in Germany and France able to stay one step ahead of the perpetrators? After all, we have become used to hearing stories...
The Pivot, Past And Future
In November 2009, on his first visit to Asia as president, Barack Obama declared in Japan: “There must be no doubt. As America’s first Pacific president, I promise you that this Pacific nation will...
Afraid new world
When he did mention Asia, it was to threaten tariffs on Chinese imports, and less military support to Japan and South Korea. Southeast Asia was not mentioned. Therefore whatever we can say about the...
The bully or the deal maker- which Donald Trump will Australia get?
Leading strategist Professor Hugh White, a former deputy head of the Defence department, says he is unsurprised the government and many commentators have eagerly seized on Trump’s words since...
A global role smashed by US voters
Americans themselves will of course be in deep shock at this outcome, and it may take some time for the shape of Donald Trump’s new America to become clear. But we can be pretty sure that the...
