The strategic situation in the 1980's : An exercise in forecasting

Author/s (editor/s):

Geoffrey Jukes

Publication year:


Publication type:

Policy paper

By the 1980s Britain will long have ceased to be a force East of Suez, the war in Vietnam will be over, China’s Cultural Revolution will have drawn to a close.</p><p>This is the world for which Australia’s foreign and defence policies have to be shaped now; it is the world whose alignments and policies Mr Jukes is attempting to predict.

His analysis is concerned not with the effect of economic or ideological factors but with the impact of already apparent developments and trends on strategic balance and the effects that changes in that balance will have on relations between states.

No 1984, this forecast is intended to provoke consideration and discussion among students of international affairs and strategic studies, officials concerned with External Affairs and Defence, journalists and politicians, and the ordinary Australians concerned for their country’s future.

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